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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
St Louis City

Los Angeles
3 - 0
St Louis City

Vela (72'), Biuk (82'), Cifuentes (90+2')
Cifuentes (13'), Maldonado (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bell (51'), Nerwinski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 St Louis City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 St Louis City

 The Black and Gold have continuously found ways to pick themselves back up when in a slump, and we expect a determined and solid all-around performance from them this week. St Louis are happy to hang back and allow opposing teams easy access to their half of the field, but pressing effectively in the humid California conditions could be tricky, as could containing a side with a lot more depth and quality in the attacking third than their previous two opponents (the Colorado Rapids and Toronto).

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
70.66% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 17.09% (0.0040000000000013 0) 12.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 54% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57.89% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98%9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29%30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)77.23% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 70.66%
    St Louis City 12.24%
    Draw 17.09%
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.001 0)
6-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 70.66%
1-1 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 3.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.24%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs St Louis City

Los Angeles FC
28.6%
Draw
57.1%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
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