Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
40% | 25.04% | 34.96% |
Both teams to score 57.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.97% | 46.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.66% | 68.33% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% | 22.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% | 25.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% | 60.45% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |