Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.