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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Charlotte FC

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Charlotte FC

Nashville may be slightly fatigued following their midweek outing in the Champions Cup, and we think they will have to settle for a point in Saturday's home contest, especially after drawing three of their four competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
46.33% (0.72900000000001 0.73) 25.12% (-0.14 -0.14) 28.56% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (0.259 0.26)48.75% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (0.237 0.24)70.86% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.431 0.43)21.07% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.666 0.67)53.88% (-0.667 -0.67)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.298 -0.3)31.11% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.348 -0.35)67.43% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 46.32%
    Charlotte FC 28.56%
    Draw 25.11%
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Nashville vs Charlotte FC

Nashville SC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Charlotte FC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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