Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
NY City

Malanda (8')
Westwood (34'), Vargas (73'), Urso (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ilencic (9'), Martins (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Charlotte FC 1-2 New York City FC

There are a lot of new faces in Charlotte, and it might take them a while to gel as a unit, while we are unconvinced they have sorted out their goalkeeping issues. After a difficult 2023 campaign, having a long off-season to familiarize themselves with their new surroundings should be helpful to the Pigeons, who have plenty of attacking depth which should serve them well in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	New York City FC
40.65% ( 0.09)	27.29% ( 0.06)	32.06% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.34% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.95% (

-0.29)

56.05% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.87% (

-0.24)

77.13% (

0.23)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.09)

27.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

-0.11)

62.44% (

0.11)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.65% (

-0.26)

32.35% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.14% (

-0.29)

68.86% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 40.64%

New York City FC 32.06%

Draw 27.28%

Charlotte FC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.64%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.06%