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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BMO Field
Charlotte FC

Toronto
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Insigne (80')
Insigne (26'), Rosted (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (60'), Arfield (82'), Dejaegere (86'), Kahlina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC

 Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
38.11% (0.457 0.46) 25.87% (0.112 0.11) 36.02% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.511 -0.51)49.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.459 -0.46)71.64% (0.462 0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.56500000000001 -0.57)26.66% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.754 -0.75)61.9% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.11%
    Charlotte FC 36.02%
    Draw 25.86%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC

Toronto
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Charlotte FC
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
3-0
Toronto
Swiderski (8' pen., 45+2' pen.), Dejaegere (56')

Bradley (26'), Mbongue (45+6')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Charlotte FC
Bernardeschi (6'), Bradley (44')
Bender (51'), Jozwiak (70')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
Charlotte FC
0-2
Toronto

Fuchs (10'), Jozwiak (83')
Insigne (49'), Bernardeschi (66')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
4-0
Charlotte FC
Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')

Fuchs (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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