Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BMO Field
Toronto1 - 0Charlotte FC
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Charlotte FC |
38.11% ( 0.46) | 25.87% ( 0.11) | 36.02% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.51) | 49.62% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.46) | 71.64% ( 0.46) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( 0.01) | 25.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.68% ( 0.02) | 60.32% ( -0.02) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.57) | 26.66% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.75) | 61.9% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
Toronto 38.11%
Charlotte FC 36.02%
Draw 25.86%
| Toronto | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.02% |
How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC
Toronto
62.5%Draw
25.0%Charlotte FC
12.5%8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Form Guide
