Major League Soccer

Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Insigne (80')
Insigne (26'), Rosted (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (60'), Arfield (82'), Dejaegere (86'), Kahlina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC

Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Charlotte FC
38.11% ( 0.46)	25.87% ( 0.11)	36.02% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

-0.51)

49.62% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

-0.46)

71.64% (

0.46)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52% (

0.01)

25.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

0.02)

60.32% (

-0.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.57)

26.66% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0.75)

61.9% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Toronto 38.11%

Charlotte FC 36.02%

Draw 25.86%

Toronto	Draw	Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.11%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.02%