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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Inter Miami

New England
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Gil (27' pen.), Polster (34'), Wood (51')
Blessing (67'), Farrell (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martinez (84' pen.)
Fray (42'), McVey (44'), Ruiz (70'), Yedlin (70'), Allen (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 0-0 New England
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Birmingham Legion 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in US Open Cup

We said: New England Revolution 2-1 Inter Miami

 With it being open to perception whether the news of Messi's pending arrival will act as a catalyst or distraction, it is unclear whether the visitors will be capable of turning around their form in this match. On that note, the best bet may be a narrow victory for the hosts, who have proven tough to beat despite their drop in standards.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawInter Miami
59.1% (-3.173 -3.17) 22.72% (1.305 1.31) 18.17% (1.866 1.87)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (-2.414 -2.41)49.12% (2.413 2.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (-2.22 -2.22)71.19% (2.218 2.22)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-1.853 -1.85)16.27% (1.85 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (-3.47 -3.47)45.82% (3.466 3.47)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11% (0.843 0.84)40.89% (-0.848 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54% (0.747 0.75)77.46% (-0.75 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 59.09%
    Inter Miami 18.17%
    Draw 22.72%
New England RevolutionDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 10.96% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.64% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.428 -0.43)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.513 -0.51)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.271 -0.27)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 59.09%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.62 0.62)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.634 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.69 0.69)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.381 0.38)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.363 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: New England vs Inter Miami

New England Revolution
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Inter Miami
7.7%
13
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
2-1
New England
Ruiz (6'), Martinez (44')
Ruiz (37'), Martinez (45'), Taylor (60'), McVey (78'), Campana (85')
Ruiz (81')
Gil (26')
Polster (79'), Buck (87')
May 1, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-0
Inter Miami
Rivera (1'), Buksa (64')
Kaptoum (90')

Gregore (28'), Lowe (54'), Quinteros (55')
Lowe (60'), Quinteros (76')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
Inter Miami
3-2
New England
Campana (17', 23', 88')
Mota (7'), Lowe (65'), Gregore (65'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Rennicks (11'), Gil (67' pen.)
McNamara (20'), Lletget (59'), Kessler (82'), Polster (84')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
New England
0-1
Inter Miami

Kessler (34')
Matuidi (58')
Shea (49'), Carranza (63'), Pizarro (64')
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 19
Inter Miami
0-5
New England

Figal (15'), Chapman (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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