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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New England Revolution

Inter Miami
2 - 1
New England

Ruiz (6'), Martinez (44')
Ruiz (37'), Martinez (45'), Taylor (60'), McVey (78'), Campana (85')
Ruiz (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gil (26')
Polster (79'), Buck (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 New England Revolution

 Inter Miami have started to find their feet in the MLS over the past few weeks, but they still trail New England Revolution by 12 points in the table, which displays just how well the visitors have started the campaign. As such, we expect New England to emerge with a narrow win, akin to their closely-contested 2-1 victory against DC United back in March.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew England Revolution
44.15% (3.622 3.62) 24.56% (-0.234 -0.23) 31.29% (-3.388 -3.39)
Both teams to score 57.83% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (0.035000000000004 0.04)44.94% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)67.29% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (1.693 1.69)20.46% (-1.691 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (2.62 2.62)52.92% (-2.618 -2.62)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-2.051 -2.05)27.29% (2.051 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-2.739 -2.74)62.73% (2.741 2.74)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 44.15%
    New England Revolution 31.29%
    Draw 24.56%
Inter MiamiDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.384 0.38)
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.432 0.43)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.678 0.68)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.435 0.44)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.527 0.53)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.273 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.447 -0.45)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.591 -0.59)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.393 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs New England

Inter Miami
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
New England Revolution
63.6%
11
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-0
Inter Miami
Rivera (1'), Buksa (64')
Kaptoum (90')

Gregore (28'), Lowe (54'), Quinteros (55')
Lowe (60'), Quinteros (76')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
Inter Miami
3-2
New England
Campana (17', 23', 88')
Mota (7'), Lowe (65'), Gregore (65'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Rennicks (11'), Gil (67' pen.)
McNamara (20'), Lletget (59'), Kessler (82'), Polster (84')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
New England
0-1
Inter Miami

Kessler (34')
Matuidi (58')
Shea (49'), Carranza (63'), Pizarro (64')
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 19
Inter Miami
0-5
New England

Figal (15'), Chapman (62')
Ingvi Traustason (15', 36'), Bunbury (27'), Buksa (45+4', 83')
Sep 27, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 44
New England
P-P
Inter Miami
rhs 2.0
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