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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Orlando City

Campana (57')
Campana (16'), Cremaschi (75'), Fray (89'), McVey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kara (19'), Ojeda (68'), Santos (86')
Carlos (23'), Cartagena (36'), Angulo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City

Just one point separates Inter Miami and Orlando in the MLS table, indicating they are very evenly-matches sides, but we expect the hosts to emerge with a narrow victory. The Herons have won their last three games at the DRV PNK Stadium, the most recent of which coming against a very strong New England Revolution side, so they should have enough about them to take all three points on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
45.24% (1.467 1.47) 25.13% (-0.199 -0.2) 29.63% (-1.264 -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (0.282 0.28)48.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.258 0.26)70.37% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.79000000000001 0.79)21.33% (-0.785 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.204 1.2)54.29% (-1.198 -1.2)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)30.06% (0.734 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.888 -0.89)66.19% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.24%
    Orlando City 29.63%
    Draw 25.12%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-1
Orlando City
Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
Kara (71')
Carlos (59')
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 27
Orlando City
0-0
Inter Miami

Jansson (51')

Pizarro (63'), Makoun (85')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
gameweek 22
Orlando City
1-1
Inter Miami
Carlos (45+1')
Urso (56'), Rosell (85')
Gibbs (66')
Pizarro (68')
Jun 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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