MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 14:15:21| >> :60:3:3:
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK
BBVA Compass Field
Inter Miami

Birmingham Legion
0 - 1
Inter Miami


Pasher (67'), Lopez (67'), Soehn (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stefanelli (56')
Callender (79'), Pizarro (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's US Open Cup clash between Birmingham Legion and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Birmingham Legion 0-1 Inter Miami

As bad as the Herons have been in MLS of late, Birmingham have been equally inconsistent and poor in the USL Championship, and players like Leonardo Campana and Josef Martinez have a lot more quality than most who feature in the second-tier of American soccer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Birmingham Legion had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Birmingham LegionDrawInter Miami
36.93% (0.171 0.17) 25.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 37.23% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09)49.44% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)71.48% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Birmingham Legion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.142 0.14)26.05% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (0.188 0.19)61.09% (-0.188 -0.19)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.88% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)60.86% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham Legion 36.93%
    Inter Miami 37.23%
    Draw 25.83%
Birmingham LegionDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.93%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.23%

How you voted: Birmingham Legion vs Inter Miami

Birmingham Legion
18.2%
Draw
0.0%
Inter Miami
81.8%
11
rhs 2.0
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