Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
41.51% | 25.51% | 32.97% |
Both teams to score 55.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.43% | 48.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.31% | 70.68% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.76% | 23.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.85% | 57.14% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% | 27.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.36% | 63.63% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |