Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
4 - 3
Columbus Crew

Ojeda (48'), Torres (73'), Enrique (86', 90+7')
Pareja (84'), Enrique (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gressel (16'), Rossi (56'), Camilo Hernandez (68')
Morris (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-4 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew

Strong home form makes Orlando the favourites for this one, as they are unbeaten in nine at the Exploria Stadium. Five wins in a row here against Columbus is another positive omen, but they have all been by one-goal margins, so another close encounter could be in store between two in-form sides.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Columbus Crew
50.69% ( -0.14)	23.56% ( 0)	25.75% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

0.11)

43.94% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67% (

0.11)

66.32% (

-0.11)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

-0.01)

17.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.16% (

-0.02)

47.84% (

0.02)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

0.17)

30.72% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

0.2)

66.98% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 50.69%

Columbus Crew 25.75%

Draw 23.56%

Orlando City	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.69%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.75%