Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.21% ( 2.82) | 25.43% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( -2.72) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.61% ( -1.19) | 51.39% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% ( -1.05) | 73.2% ( 1.05) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( 0.77) | 21.33% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.71% ( 1.17) | 54.28% ( -1.17) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( -2.73) | 34.2% ( 2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( -3.04) | 70.89% ( 3.04) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |