Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.21% ( 2.82) | 25.43% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( -2.72) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.61% ( -1.19) | 51.39% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% ( -1.05) | 73.2% ( 1.05) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( 0.77) | 21.33% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.71% ( 1.17) | 54.28% ( -1.17) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.8% ( -2.73) | 34.2% ( 2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( -3.04) | 70.89% ( 3.04) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |