Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Orlando City
Off the back of a disappointing Leagues Cup run, Chicago Fire and Orlando City will be looking to return to league action with a morale-boosting result. While both sides are evenly matched heading into this one, the Fire's home record in this fixture makes them slight favourites and we predict that they will come away with a slender victory.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.04% . A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.18%) . The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood .
Result Chicago Fire Draw Orlando City 46.04% ( 0.06) 25.65% ( 0.02) 28.31% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.1)
48.92% ( -0.11) 51.08% ( 0.11)
27.07% ( -0.09) 72.93% ( 0.09)
77.83% ( -0.02) 22.17% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.44% ( -0.03) 55.56% ( 0.03)
67.5% ( -0.11) 32.5% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.98% ( -0.12) 69.02% ( 0.13)
Chicago Fire 46.04%
Orlando City 28.31%
Draw 25.64%
Chicago Fire Draw Orlando City 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.04% 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64% 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.31%
How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Orlando City
Chicago Fire
Draw
Orlando City
7
rhs 2.0
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