Major League Soccer

Mar 13, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Cincinnati showed more promise in their latest performance, meaning that they have more chance of getting on the scoresheet this weekend if they can lift themselves from the disappointment of conceding so late on last weekend. However, Orlando have started the season strongly and are strong favourites to take three points from this encounter, and they should be able to outscore their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	FC Cincinnati
61.5%	20.41%	18.08%

Both teams to score 56.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88%

39.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55%

61.45%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.74%

12.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.01%

37.99%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92%

35.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17%

71.83%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 61.5%

FC Cincinnati 18.08%

Draw 20.41%

Orlando City	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 6.94% 3-0 @ 6.63% 4-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.85% Total : 61.5%	1-1 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 4.95% 0-1 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.08%