Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4

May 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
3 - 0
Cincinnati

Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stanko (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	FC Cincinnati
58.87%	21.98%	19.14%

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43%

44.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07%

66.93%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.2%

14.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.93%

43.07%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86%

37.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07%

73.92%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 58.86%

FC Cincinnati 19.14%

Draw 21.98%

Orlando City	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 6.33% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.86%	1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.44% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.14%