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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Spectrum Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Orlando City
2 - 4
Philadelphia

Pasalic (8', 79')
Araujo (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baribo (23', 64'), Gazdag (48'), Uhre (51')
Uhre (33'), Lukic (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture such that despite Orlando City's recent dominance, they are without a clean sheet in 16 encounters against Philadelphia Union. That said, we are leaning towards a victory for the home side at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.41% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 23.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 21.55% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)45.93% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.023 -0.02)68.24% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.43% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)46.1% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)35.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.018999999999998 0.02)72.23% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 55.41%
    Philadelphia Union 21.55%
    Draw 23.03%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Philadelphia

Orlando City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Philadelphia Union
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')
Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-3
Orlando City
Uhre (12'), Gazdag (66' pen.)
Lowe (81')
McGuire (21'), Muriel (42', 46')
Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Smith (90')
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
Philadelphia
McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')
McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-1
Orlando City
Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Perea (75')
rhs 2.0
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