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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Orlando City

Cincinnati
1 - 3
Orlando City

Acosta (45')
Kelsy (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Enrique (10', 72'), Angulo (66')
Cartagena (17'), Jansson (90+7'), Schlegel (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 3-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-2 Orlando City

While Cincinnati have suffered a drop-off in form in the season run-in, Orlando have picked up five wins from their last six matches and will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence. However, Cincinnati's home advantage gives them a slight upper hand and we predict that they will frustrate the visitors to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
52.9% (0.104 0.1) 21.73% (-0.128 -0.13) 25.37% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.32% (0.498 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28% (0.644 0.64)35.72% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21% (0.707 0.71)57.79% (-0.70800000000001 -0.71)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (0.254 0.25)13.69% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08% (0.505 0.51)40.92% (-0.506 -0.51)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.36199999999999 0.36)26.63% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.475 0.48)61.87% (-0.478 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.9%
    Orlando City 25.37%
    Draw 21.73%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.9%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.37%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Orlando City

FC Cincinnati
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
Orlando City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
0-1
Cincinnati

Araujo (30'), Jansson (62'), Murphy (64'), Halliday (90+1')
Schlegel (23')
Acosta (1')
Halsey (55'), Cartagena (56'), Halliday (66'), Valenzuela (90')
Halsey (78')
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Acosta (44'), Boupendza (90+4')
Torres (44')
Santos (13'), Dan Thor­halls­son (41'), Araujo (55'), Gallese (90+11'), Urso (90+5')
Cartagena (90+5')
Jun 25, 2022 12.30am
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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