We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Atlanta United
With just three points between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union in the coveted ninth place, we anticipate a thrilling contest at Subaru Park as both sides look to get one over the other.
However, Philadelphia's home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to see off the Five Stripes who have failed to win six of their last seven games on their travels.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.