Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.