Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
63.72% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() | 15.2% |
Both teams to score 48.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% (![]() | 47.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% (![]() | 69.55% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.82% | 14.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.13% | 41.87% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.42% (![]() | 43.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.22% (![]() | 79.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.7% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 5.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |