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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11.20pm UK
BMO Field
Orlando City

Toronto
0 - 2
Orlando City

FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (63', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City

 We want to think having nothing to lose and being under new management would change the Reds' fate this weekend, but there is just too much working against the home side in all areas of the field for us to believe they can claim even a single point out of nowhere.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawOrlando City
36.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 37.35% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 36.62%
    Orlando City 37.35%
    Draw 26.02%
TorontoDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.62%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.35%

How you voted: Toronto vs Orlando City

Toronto
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Orlando City
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
4-0
Toronto
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Toronto
0-1
Orlando City

Bradley (42')
Smith (90+2')
Moutinho (71'), Schlegel (72'), Jansson (88')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76')

Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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