Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.