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New York City
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Citi Field
New York Red Bulls

NY City
vs.
NY Red Bulls

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Saturday will mark 20 days since the Red Bulls last played a league game, and we believe such a lengthy layoff will impact them on the field against an NYCFC side that have looked incredibly sharp and cohesive at Citi Field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 24.84% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.91% (-0.474 -0.47) 22.25% (0.232 0.23) 24.84% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.85% (-0.554 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.851 -0.85)38.71% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.904 -0.9)61.02% (0.904 0.9)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-0.452 -0.45)14.73% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.869 -0.87)42.94% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.271 -0.27)28.64% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.339 -0.34)64.45% (0.33999999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 52.91%
    New York Red Bulls 24.84%
    Draw 22.24%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 24.84%

Who will win Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between NY City and NY Red Bulls?

New York City FC
Draw
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-5
NY City
Vanzeir (28')
Reyes (14'), Schwarz (15'), Stroud (90+5')
Moralez (5'), Martinez (7', 45+5'), Perea (30'), Gray (67')
May 19, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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