MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 03:34:35| >> :120:5970:5970:
New York City
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Citi Field
New York Red Bulls

NY City
0 - 2
NY Red Bulls


Sands (34'), O'Toole (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carballo (16'), Vanzeir (25')
Edelman (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Saturday will mark 20 days since the Red Bulls last played a league game, and we believe such a lengthy layoff will impact them on the field against an NYCFC side that have looked incredibly sharp and cohesive at Citi Field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.91% (-0.474 -0.47) 22.25% (0.232 0.23) 24.84% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.85% (-0.554 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.851 -0.85)38.71% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.904 -0.9)61.02% (0.904 0.9)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (-0.452 -0.45)14.73% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.869 -0.87)42.94% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.271 -0.27)28.64% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.339 -0.34)64.45% (0.33999999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 52.91%
    New York Red Bulls 24.84%
    Draw 22.24%
New York City FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 24.84%

How you voted: NY City vs NY Red Bulls

New York City FC
76.0%
Draw
8.0%
New York Red Bulls
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-5
NY City
Vanzeir (28')
Reyes (14'), Schwarz (15'), Stroud (90+5')
Moralez (5'), Martinez (7', 45+5'), Perea (30'), Gray (67')
May 19, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool30227170274373
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Manchester CityMan City30156957401751
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
6Chelsea29147853371649
7Aston Villa3013984445-148
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton30121174845347
9Fulham3012994440445
10Bournemouth301281049381144
11Brentford30125135147441
12Crystal Palace29101093734340
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton30713103237-534
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich3048183063-3320
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3024242271-4910


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