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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Denkey (70')
Nwobodo (64'), Baird (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hack (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motagua 1-4 Cincinnati
Thursday, February 20 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Losing Acosta is a blow to Cincinnati, but we believe Evander's dynamic skill and speed, along with all the familiar faces in their lineup, will enable them to begin this campaign on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.81% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 22.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.32% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)45.52% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.125 -0.13)67.85% (0.125 0.13)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)16.15% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.126 -0.13)45.59% (0.124 0.12)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)35.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)72.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.81%
    New York Red Bulls 21.32%
    Draw 22.87%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 55.81%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
3-1
Cincinnati
Morgan (7', 59'), Duncan (52')
Nealis (79')
Baird (67')
Yedlin (88'), Murphy (90')
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
(Aggregate 1-1 | NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties)
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
rhs 2.0
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