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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
FC Cincinnati

Nashville
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Surridge (5', 25')
Surridge (42'), Godoy (75'), Lovitz (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acosta (9'), Orellano (53')
Awaziem (19'), Murphy (74'), Yedlin (79'), Hadebe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-3 FC Cincinnati

The match is likely to be closely contested with Cincinnati's stronger attacking form possibly giving them an edge despite their defensive issue even though the hosts are expected to put up a resolute resistance to defend their run. FC Cincy's goal threat should be more than enough to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawFC Cincinnati
39.89% (0.299 0.3) 25.15% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 34.96% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 57% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (0.218 0.22)46.53% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.205 0.2)68.81% (-0.211 -0.21)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.248 0.25)23.15% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.363 0.36)57.02% (-0.368 -0.37)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.82% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.052 -0.05)60.78% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 39.89%
    FC Cincinnati 34.96%
    Draw 25.15%
Nashville SCDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.89%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 34.96%

How you voted: Nashville vs Cincinnati

Nashville SC
17.6%
Draw
5.9%
FC Cincinnati
76.5%
17
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 12.30am
Jul 16, 2023 1.32am
Cincinnati
3-1
Nashville
Acosta (42' pen.), Arias (74'), Boupendza (90+9')
Arias (26'), Noonan (27'), Acosta (45+7'), Miazga (62'), Vazquez (87'), Boupendza (90+10')
Zimmerman (31')
Washington (36'), Picault (62'), Haakenson (86')
Washington (68'), Picault (70')
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 41
Cincinnati
3-6
Nashville
Leal (45+2', 76'), Sapong (71', 90+2'), Loba (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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