Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 88.37%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 3.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 0-4 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.78%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 2-1 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saint Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint Louis City | Draw | Charlotte FC |
3.54% ( 0.08) | 8.08% ( 0.06) | 88.37% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.35% ( 0.22) | 23.65% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.86% ( 0.29) | 43.14% ( -0.29) |
Saint Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.89% ( 0.61) | 54.11% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.66% ( 0.37) | 87.34% ( -0.37) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.65% ( 0.01) | 3.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.28% ( 0.04) | 14.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Saint Louis City | Draw | Charlotte FC |
2-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 3.54% | 1-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 8.09% | 0-3 @ 11.83% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 10.04% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 0-7 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 1-7 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.33% Total : 88.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |