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Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30am UK
 
Los Angeles FC

San Diego
3 - 2
Los Angeles

McVey (21'), Valakari (33'), Mighten (40')
Negri (14'), Tverskov (24'), Kumado (88'), Lozano (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Smoliakov (43'), Under (45+5')
Martinez (19'), Jesus (21'), Segura (90+4')
Jesus (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between San Diego and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-1 San Diego
Sunday, March 23 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Diego 1-1 Los Angeles FC

The home side suffered their first loss in MLS last weekend, but given their impressive start to the season, the hosts will be expected to bounce back at the weekend. However, against LAFC, who have won three of their last five matches on the road, this encounter could be a tricky one for the hosts. Therefore, we are backing both sides to share the spoils with a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
San DiegoDrawLos Angeles FC
27.51% (0.249 0.25) 22.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 49.75% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (0.226 0.23)38.69% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (0.23699999999999 0.24)61% (-0.239 -0.24)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.28699999999999 0.29)26.67% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.381 0.38)61.92% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    San Diego 27.51%
    Los Angeles FC 49.75%
    Draw 22.73%
San DiegoDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.85% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 49.75%

How you voted: San Diego vs Los Angeles

San Diego
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Los Angeles FC
33.3%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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