Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.