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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
San Diego

Vazquez (10'), Gallagher (19')
Pereira (33')
FT(HT: 2-1)
de la Torre (27')
Pilcher (3'), de la Torre (14'), McVey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Austin
Saturday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: San Diego 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 0-1 San Diego

Even without Lozano, San Diego have shown plenty of quality in the attacking third, and have fared well against some strong attacking units, which is why we predict they will keep their unbeaten run intact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSan Diego
96.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01) 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Both teams to score 41.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
90.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)9.33% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
78.92% (0.091999999999999 0.09)21.07% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)0.76% (-0.0061 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
95.5% (0.028000000000006 0.03)4.49% (-0.026899999999999 -0.03)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.79% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.52% (0.022 0.02)89.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 96.37%
    San Diego 0.92%
    Draw 2.69%
Austin FCDrawSan Diego
4-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-0 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
7-0 @ 5.73% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-1 @ 5.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-1 @ 4.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
8-0 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
7-1 @ 3.14% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
8-1 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
9-0 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
9-1 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
10-0 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 96.37%
1-1 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 2.69%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 0.92%

How you voted: Austin vs San Diego

Austin FC
Draw
San Diego
Austin FC
18.2%
Draw
22.7%
San Diego
59.1%
22
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127411810825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131613325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272321101123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Orlando City125522012820
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341513218
8New York City FCNY City125341313018
9Nashville SCNashville115242014617
10New England RevolutionNew England1151599016
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12048516-114

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin12516714-716
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038823-153
15San Diego FC00000000


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