Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 60.14%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
Result | ||
Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
60.14% | 19.62% | 20.25% |
Both teams to score 64.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.3% | 31.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.78% | 53.22% |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.62% | 10.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.11% | 33.89% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% | 28.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.72% | 64.28% |
Score Analysis |
Seattle Sounders | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 7.2% 1-0 @ 6.7% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 4.52% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-0 @ 3.25% 4-2 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 1.16% 4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.14% | 1-1 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 2.96% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-1 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.24% Total : 20.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |