Major League Soccer

May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 1
Kansas

Mora (53'), Evander (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (64')
Rodriguez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Sporting Kansas City

Neither side have been particularly strong defensively this season, with Portland averaging over two goals conceded per game, while Kansas average just under two goals. On the other hand, both teams rank among the highest scorers of the Western Conference, so fans could be in for an entertaining matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
43.9% ( -0.01)	23.48%	32.61% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.3% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

-0.01)

39.33% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

-0.01)

61.67% (

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.01)

18.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66% (

-0.01)

49.34% (

0.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0)

23.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08%

57.91% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 43.9%

Sporting Kansas City 32.61%

Draw 23.47%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.61%