Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.