Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.