Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
