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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
3 - 1
Chester

Hall (26', 47'), Newton (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tollitt (9')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 1-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-6 Chester
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawChester FC
34.05% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 28.15%37.8% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (0.040000000000006 0.04)32.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.044 0.04)68.98% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.07% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)66.21% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 34.05%
    Chester FC 37.8%
    Draw 28.14%
Brackley TownDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.8%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Chester
1-0
Brackley Town
Glendon (45' pen.)

Newton (85')
May 7, 2023 3.30pm
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chorley179532819932
2Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
3Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1785431141729
5Buxton189182921828
6Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
7Brackley Town168351913627
8King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn178362019127
9Alfreton TownAlfreton157532014626
10Chester FCChester167451816225
11SouthportSouthport177462529-425
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor176652519624
13Leamington FCLeamington166552216623
14Darlington175751818022
15South Shields177191927-822
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports176381823-521
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic176291826-820
19Oxford CityOxford City164662329-618
20Warrington Town174671723-618
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC16349721-1413
23Needham Market1733111231-1912
24Rushall Olympic1632111630-1411


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