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National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 0
Brackley Town

Glendon (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Newton (85')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Boston
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawBrackley Town
45.21% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 26.86% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.92% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)55.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)77.09% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)24.68% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)59.21% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)35.4% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)72.16% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 45.21%
    Brackley Town 27.93%
    Draw 26.86%
Chester FCDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 3.30pm
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chester
1-1
Brackley Town
Weeks (54')
Grand (90+1' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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