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National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Alfreton Town

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Alfreton

Carline (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
45.72%26.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 48.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)59.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8%36.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)72.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 45.71%
    Alfreton Town 27.34%
    Draw 26.93%
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.5%
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Alfreton
0-1
Brackley Town
Dean (54')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Brackley Town
1-1
Alfreton
Bates (17')
Salam (45')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Alfreton
1-0
Brackley Town
Rhead (26' pen.)
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Alfreton
0-1
Brackley Town
Lowe (48')
Yusuf (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton23143632181445
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2613673226645
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe24128439152444
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster23134636171943
5Brackley Town2312472819940
6Darlington2410953124739
7Buxton23122937271038
8Chorley2211563226638
9Hereford UnitedHereford2410773224837
10Alfreton TownAlfreton2310762924537
11Chester FCChester2310762924537
12South Shields25113114037336
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2471163329432
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports248792831-331
15SouthportSouthport248792733-631
16Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath247982930-130
17Leamington FCLeamington2385103026429
18Oxford CityOxford City2477103641-528
19Warrington Town2659122235-1324
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2573152646-2024
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2256112741-1421
22Marine AFC2456131631-1521
23Needham Market2446141739-2218
24Rushall Olympic2553172449-2518


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