MX23RW : Wednesday, August 21 21:03:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Smart (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matthews (80')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawCurzon Ashton
46.64% (-0.114 -0.11) 26.42% (0.366 0.37) 26.94% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-1.257 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-1.541 -1.54)54.88% (1.544 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-1.29 -1.29)76.17% (1.292 1.29)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.712 -0.71)23.51% (0.715 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (-1.043 -1.04)57.54% (1.046 1.05)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (-1.033 -1.03)35.6% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-1.083 -1.08)72.37% (1.084 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 46.63%
    Curzon Ashton 26.94%
    Draw 26.41%
BuxtonDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.49 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 26.94%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Buxton
Hancock (53', 54')
Boden (19')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Buxton
1-0
Curzon Ashton
De Girolamo (71' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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