National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley2 - 0Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Kettering
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
50.46% ( 0.07) | 24.96% ( -0.03) | 24.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.1% ( 0.09) | 50.9% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.22% ( 0.08) | 72.78% ( -0.08) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 0.06) | 20.18% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% ( 0.1) | 52.47% ( -0.1) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% ( 0.02) | 35.45% ( -0.02) |