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National League North | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 2
Chester

FT(HT: 0-0)
Caton (59'), Willoughby (79')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-2 Chester
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
39.37% (0.032999999999994 0.03) 27.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.44% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)55.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)76.59% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)31.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)67.4% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 39.37%
    Chester FC 33.44%
    Draw 27.19%
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.44%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Chester
2-3
Hereford
Burke (24'), Williams (63')
Hodgkiss (45+2'), Kouhyar (65'), Owen-Evans (82' pen.)
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
5-3
Hereford
Weeks (44'), Elliott (49'), White (52' og.), Johnston (62'), Livesey (85')
Owen-Evans (22', 38'), Digie (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cardinals
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Rams
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster22134536162043
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton22133631181342
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2412663022842
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe23118436152141
5Buxton23122937271038
6Chorley2211563226638
7Hereford UnitedHereford2310763122937
8Brackley Town2211472619737
9Alfreton TownAlfreton2210752923637
10Darlington239953024636
11Chester FCChester2210662924536
12South Shields24113104036436
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2371063228431
14SouthportSouthport238692733-630
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath237882829-129
16Oxford CityOxford City237793639-328
17Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports237792630-428
18Leamington FCLeamington2275102825326
19Warrington Town2459102131-1024
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2373132540-1524
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2146112441-1718
22Marine AFC2346131431-1718
23Needham Market2346131637-2118
24Rushall Olympic2333172048-2812


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