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National League North | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 2
Chester

FT(HT: 0-0)
Caton (59'), Willoughby (79')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-2 Chester
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
39.37% (0.032999999999994 0.03) 27.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.44% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)55.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)76.59% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)31.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)67.4% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 39.37%
    Chester FC 33.44%
    Draw 27.19%
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.44%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Chester
2-3
Hereford
Burke (24'), Williams (63')
Hodgkiss (45+2'), Kouhyar (65'), Owen-Evans (82' pen.)
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
5-3
Hereford
Weeks (44'), Elliott (49'), White (52' og.), Johnston (62'), Livesey (85')
Owen-Evans (22', 38'), Digie (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Brackley Town462951275423392
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe462612876304690
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster462781186374989
4Chester FCChester462512973452887
5Chorley4622131176492779
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn462310135245779
7Buxton462451776522477
8Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton4622111359411877
9Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4621131276502676
10Hereford UnitedHereford4622101468511776
11Darlington461815136154769
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports461712175557-263
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath461613176458661
14Alfreton TownAlfreton461514175459-559
15Marine AFC461610204557-1258
16Leamington FCLeamington461510215256-455
17South Shields46166246073-1354
18SouthportSouthport461314194358-1553
19Oxford CityOxford City461314195874-1653
20RadcliffeRadcliffe461312215675-1951
21Needham Market46109274476-3239
22Rushall Olympic4698294298-5635
23Warrington Town46613273470-3631
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic46753435113-7826


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