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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 2
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (4'), Walker (80' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
56.91% (0.052 0.05) 23.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 19.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)51.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.038 -0.04)72.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.0039999999999907 0)17.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)40.64% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-0.07 -0.07)77.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 56.89%
    Curzon Ashton 19.43%
    Draw 23.66%
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.43%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
1-3
Hereford
Peers (77')
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Hereford
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Gordon (9'), Owen-Evans (28')
Curran (2'), Hobson (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe106311651121
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton10622128420
3Chester FCChester105321410418
4Chorley104511812617
5Alfreton TownAlfreton10451149517
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn105231111017
7Leamington FCLeamington104421510516
8Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath104421612416
9Hereford UnitedHereford10361148615
10Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster104241410414
11Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic104241311214
12Brackley Town104241110114
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor103431512313
14Darlington1034398113
15South Shields104151317-413
16Buxton94051110112
17SouthportSouthport103341320-712
18Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports10325813-511
19Warrington Town102441114-310
20Needham Market10316814-610
21Rushall Olympic103071217-59
22Marine AFC10235412-89
23Oxford CityOxford City101451323-107
24RadcliffeRadcliffe90451221-94


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