Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
