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National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Chorley

Hereford
0 - 1
Chorley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-4 Hereford
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-4 Chorley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChorley
41.12% (0.428 0.43) 25.8% (-0.093 -0.09) 33.08% (-0.333 -0.33)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.323 0.32)49.8% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.288 0.29)71.81% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.363 0.36)23.97% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (0.515 0.52)58.21% (-0.513 -0.51)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)28.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)64.33% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 41.12%
    Chorley 33.08%
    Draw 25.8%
Hereford UnitedDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.12%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.08%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Chorley
1-2
Hereford
Sampson (79')
Tolley (55'), Babos (75')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Chorley
2-0
Hereford
Ustabasi (51'), Hall (53')
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Hereford
1-1
Chorley
Rus (62')
Smith (90+3')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Chorley
3-2
Hereford
Blakeman (58'), Holmes (65'), Hall (70')
Gordon (14'), Storey (89')
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Hereford
1-0
Chorley
Storey (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chorley179532819932
2Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
3Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1785431141729
5Buxton189182921828
6Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
7Brackley Town168351913627
8King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn178362019127
9Alfreton TownAlfreton157532014626
10Chester FCChester167451816225
11SouthportSouthport177462529-425
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor176652519624
13Leamington FCLeamington166552216623
14Darlington175751818022
15South Shields177191927-822
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports176381823-521
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic176291826-820
19Oxford CityOxford City164662329-618
20Warrington Town174671723-618
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC16349721-1413
23Needham Market1733111231-1912
24Rushall Olympic1632111630-1411


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