National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton1 - 0Hereford
Spencer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Darlington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
42.69% ( 0.05) | 26.19% ( -0.05) | 31.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( 0.2) | 52.02% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( 0.17) | 73.76% ( -0.17) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.83% ( 0.11) | 24.17% ( -0.11) |