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National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Scunthorpe United

Tamworth
1 - 2
Scunthorpe

Acquaye (29')
Gascoigne (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curley (45+5' og.), Whitehall (71')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Hull City
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawScunthorpe United
48.17% (4.668 4.67) 25.4% (-0.128 -0.13) 26.43% (-4.532 -4.53)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-2.527 -2.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-1.93 -1.93)51.26% (1.937 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-1.713 -1.71)73.1% (1.719 1.72)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (1.312 1.31)21.29% (-1.305 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (1.984 1.98)54.23% (-1.977 -1.98)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-4.377 -4.38)34.08% (4.384 4.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-5.009 -5.01)70.77% (5.015 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 48.17%
    Scunthorpe United 26.43%
    Draw 25.4%
TamworthDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 11.22% (1.239 1.24)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.333 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.68% (1.259 1.26)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.796 0.8)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.202 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.363 0.36)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.546 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.441 -0.44)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.854 -0.85)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.741 -0.74)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.643 -0.64)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.493 -0.49)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.43%

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