Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for York City in this match.
