Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Ebbsfleet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford City 5-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Welling United | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Concord Rangers | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Oxford City | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Worthing | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
22.14% ( 0.02) | 23.64% ( 0.04) | 54.22% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
