National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Princes Park
Dartford1 - 2Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.11% ( 0.21) | 25.42% ( -0.04) | 40.47% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
