MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 15:58:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Wagstaff (7+7')
B. (14+14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jenkins (32')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
31.05% (-0.096 -0.1) 25.4% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 43.55% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.26% (0.182 0.18)48.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.164 0.16)70.84% (-0.157 -0.16)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.027000000000001 0.03)29.34% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.151 0.15)22.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (0.224 0.22)55.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 31.05%
    Chelmsford City 43.55%
    Draw 25.4%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.55%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Chelmsford City
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Olowu (37')
Coombes (50')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.106311911821
2Weston-super-MareWeston106221710720
3Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd10622149520
4Slough TownSlough10613189919
5Truro CityTruro City10613179819
6Farnborough TownFarnborough106131512319
7Boreham WoodBoreham Wood105321991018
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne105321211118
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels104511410417
10Chelmsford CityChelmsford City104331912715
11Dorking WanderersDorking104331514115
12Chesham UnitedChesham104241716114
13Salisbury104241516-114
14Hampton & RichmondHampton113441312113
15Maidstone UnitedMaidstone103431212013
16Worthing93421317-413
17Bath City10415711-413
18AFC HornchurchHornchurch10325912-311
19Welling UnitedWelling United93151118-710
20Chippenham TownChippenham10235913-49
21Enfield Town11308924-159
22Aveley101271018-85
23Weymouth10118516-114
24St Albans CitySt Albans City10037816-83


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