MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 23:20:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Wanadio (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Domi (33'), Bingham (86' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawEbbsfleet
20.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 56.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.71% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 20.73%
    Ebbsfleet 56.2%
    Draw 23.06%
Dover AthleticDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.99%
0-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 5.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-4 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 56.2%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Dover Athletic

Sutherland (40'), Ekpiteta (86')
Woods (14')
Passley (26'), Taylor (41'), Modeste (58'), Woods (65')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
1-1
Ebbsfleet
De Havilland (53')
L'Ghoul (26'), Reason (63'), Rigg (74')
Obileye (13')
Sutherland (53'), King (63')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Dover Athletic

Kedwell (62'), Rance (87')
Pavey (51')
Pavey (71'), Lewis (85'), Effiong (92')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Essam (34')
Nortey (15'), Essam (18'), Schmoll (62')
McQueen (12')
Rance (82')
rhs 2.0
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